Excess of Democracy

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A tale of two law school applicant cycles

It may not be the best of times, but there is no question that today's prospective law school applicant is in a dramatically different position than the law school applicant of just four years ago. Gleaning data from LawSchoolNumbers (of course, with all the usual caveats that come with such data), I looked at the profiles of similarly-situated law school applicants applying to a similar set of law schools in the 2010-2011 and 2014-2015 application cycles. I included their self-reported (all the usual caveats) outcomes. (I found applicants with identical LSAT scores and similar UGPAs, but I ensured that if the UGPAs were different, the 2014-2015 applicants always had the slightly worse UGPA.) I anonymized the schools, even though they're easily discoverable, simply because the precise identities of each school don't matter terribly much; instead, the illustration of the dramatically different outcomes for similar-situated applicants four years apart stands alone. The dollar figure listed is the three-year scholarship offer.

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UPDATE: For the methodology, yes, I simply found two similarly-situated applicants as best I could find. I excluded anyone with self-identified distinctive applicant profiles, such as under-represented minority or early action applicants, to minimize any distinctions between applicants.