Visualizing legal employment outcomes in DC-Virginia-Maryland in 2019

This is the sixth in a series of visualizations on legal employment outcomes for the Class of 2019. Following posts on outcomes in Pennsylvania, Ohio, Texas, Illinois, and Florida, here is a visualization for legal employment outcomes of graduates of DC, Virginia, and Maryland law schools for the Class of 2019. (More about the methodology is available at the Pennsylvania post.) Last year's DC-Virginia-Maryland post is here.

Total job placement in bar passage-required positions rose nearly 100 as graduates fell slightly, improving the overall placement rate from 83.9% to 85%. (Of note, four schools had fewer than 70 graduates.)

As always, please notify me of any corrections or errata.

Peer score School 2019 YoY% BPR JDA LSF Grads 2018 BPR JDA LSF Grads
4.4 University of Virginia 97.9% 0.2 269 4 7 286 97.7% 277 3 12 299
3.1 Washington & Lee University 92.7% 5.1 93 9 0 110 87.6% 98 1 0 113
3.3 William & Mary Law School 91.7% 3.5 189 22 0 230 88.2% 149 16 0 187
4.3 Georgetown University 90.9% -0.4 542 30 34 667 91.2% 532 28 33 650
2.7 George Mason University 89.3% 5.4 112 35 4 169 83.9% 90 22 3 137
3.0 University of Maryland 87.6% -1.3 139 30 0 193 88.9% 138 37 1 198
3.5 George Washington University 84.9% 0.9 370 54 3 503 84.0% 376 58 3 520
1.2 Liberty University 84.3% 4.3 41 2 0 51 80.0% 32 4 0 45
1.2 Regent University 82.6% 5.3 52 5 0 69 77.3% 45 5 1 66
2.8 University of Richmond 81.7% 0.5 83 15 0 120 81.2% 118 29 0 181
2.1 Catholic University of America 80.6% 12.5 63 20 0 103 68.0% 56 10 0 97
2.7 Howard University 78.2% 4.5 91 13 0 133 73.7% 80 17 1 133
2.9 American University 75.2% 1.6 249 52 2 403 73.6% 201 69 3 371
2.1 University of Baltimore 73.2% -3.7 123 22 0 198 77.0% 136 21 0 204
1.6 District of Columbia 58.5% -11.7 19 18 1 65 70.1% 26 20 1 67
1.2 Appalachian School of Law 51.6% -0.1 13 3 0 31 51.7% 13 2 0 29

Overall legal employment for the Class of 2019 strongest in years, with public interest showing spike in placement

Despite some relatively low bar passage rates in many jurisdictions over the last several years, and ahead of a (brief?) economic downturn, we’ve seen steady overall improvement in the market for law school graduates each year for several years now, and the Class of 2019 is the best yet. All trends are fairly positive, even if small, and even if some of those are driven by shrinking class sizes. Below are figures for the ABA-disclosed data (excluding Puerto Rico’s three law schools). These are ten-month figures from March 15, 2020 for the Class of 2019.

  Graduates FTLT BPR Placement FTLT JDA
Class of 2012 45,751 25,503 55.7% 4,218
Class of 2013 46,112 25,787 55.9% 4,550
Class of 2014 43,195 25,348 58.7% 4,774
Class of 2015 40,205 23,895 59.4% 4,416
Class of 2016 36,654 22,874 62.4% 3,948
Class of 2017 34,428 23,078 67.0% 3,121
Class of 2018 33,633 23,314 69.3% 3,123
Class of 2019 33,462 24,409 72.9% 2,799

Placement in bar passage-required jobs continued to improve, and graduates shrank only slightly. That put placement in full-time, long-term, bar passage-required jobs up to 72.9% (excluding school-funded positions). Raw placement rose to 24,409, the highest since the Class of 2014—and that class had nearly 10,000 more graduates. We also saw a continued overall trend of declining placement in J.D.-advantage positions, consistent with the idea that these often may not be ideal outcomes for graduates. Indeed, total J.D.-advantage job placement has been cut nearly in half since the Class of 2014.

We can also compare the Class of 2019 to the Class of 2013—a recent high-water mark in total graduates and bar passage-required jobs (even if the percentage placed in those jobs was relatively low). We can look at placement by firm size, and by industry (among long-term, full-time placement).

FTLT Class of 2013 Class of 2019 Net Delta
Solo 926 236 -690 -74.5%
2-10 6,947 4,761 -2186 -31.5%
11-25 1,842 1,769 -73 -4.0%
26-50 1,045 1,075 30 2.9%
51-100 846 864 18 2.1%
101-205 1,027 1,059 32 3.1%
251-500 1,041 1,044 3 0.3%
501+ 3,978 4,976 998 25.1%
Business/Industry 5,494 2,801 -2693 -49.0%
Government 4,360 3,656 -704 -16.1%
Public Interest 1,665 2,146 481 28.9%
Federal Clerk 1,259 1,197 -62 -4.9%
State Clerk 2,043 2,135 92 4.5%
Academia/Education 490 296 -194 -39.6%

The sharp demise of sole practitioners and small law firm placement is significant. Two years ago, I noted that placement in these positions might be the most at-risk when bar passage rates decline. Also of note is the decline in “business” jobs, which were typically J.D.-advantage positions and less desirable for graduates. Note, too, the continued rise of big law jobs—up over 1000 placements since the Class of 2013. There had been some speculation during the recession that those jobs might be disappearing and that alternative positions would be needed for future classes, but this seems to be the healthiest market to date. Law firm mergers and accelerating growth at large law firms seem to defy some previous expectations that this market would be in decline.

There are also some interesting year-over-year trends:

FTLT Class of 2018 Class of 2019 Net Delta
Solo 313 236 -77 -24.6%
2-10 4,999 4,761 -238 -4.8%
11-25 1,689 1,769 80 4.7%
26-50 1,020 1,075 55 5.4%
51-100 821 864 43 5.2%
101-205 1,002 1,059 57 5.7%
251-500 949 1,044 95 10.0%
501+ 4,749 4,976 227 4.8%
Business/Industry 3,085 2,801 -284 -9.2%
Government 3,860 3,656 -204 -5.3%
Public Interest 1,504 2,146 642 42.7%
Federal Clerk 1,174 1,197 23 2.0%
State Clerk 2,075 2,135 60 2.9%
Academia/Education 302 296 -6 -2.0%

Year-over-year growth shows healthy and consistent growth across most law firm categories, except for a continued steep decline in sole practitioners and some decline in the smallest firms.

But check out public interest placement, up over 40% year-over-year. This is a cohort of students who matriculated in the Fall of 2016, but it’s clear that there’s both an uptick in interest and an uptick in available funds for placement as of this spring.

Visualizing legal employment outcomes in Florida in 2019

This is the fifth in a series of visualizations on legal employment outcomes for the Class of 2019. Following posts on outcomes in Pennsylvania, Ohio, Texas, and Illinois, here is a visualization for legal employment outcomes of graduates of Illinois law schools for the Class of 2019. (More about the methodology is available at the Pennsylvania post.) Last year's Florida post is here.

Florida’s report was quite strong last year but appears to have taken a step back this year. Total bar passage-require jobs dropped, from 1430 in 2018 to 1375 in 2019. J.D.-advantage jobs dropped, too. But there was also a 6% decline in total graduates (largely attributable to Florida Coastal), so the overall placement rate hovered around 74%.

As always, please notify me of any corrections or errata.

Peer Score School 2019 YoY% BPR JDA LSF Grads 2018 BPR JDA LSF Grads
3.3 University of Florida 91.2% 2.8 282 20 0 331 88.4% 258 24 1 320
2.2 Florida International University 88.8% 5.9 119 8 0 143 82.9% 109 12 0 146
3.1 Florida State University 85.9% 0.1 135 11 0 170 85.8% 150 18 1 197
2.2 Stetson University 79.0% -4.3 175 24 0 252 83.3% 168 21 0 227
2.8 University of Miami 78.5% -5.8 225 31 0 326 84.3% 249 36 0 338
1.6 Nova Southeastern University 66.4% 8.8 139 11 0 226 57.5% 109 17 0 219
1.2 Florida Coastal School of Law 65.2% 4.4 37 6 0 66 60.8% 94 19 0 186
1.5 St. Thomas University 63.6% -0.6 102 10 0 176 64.3% 111 6 0 182
1.6 Florida A&M University 53.5% 3.1 52 17 0 129 50.4% 52 14 0 131
1.2 Barry University 52.2% -15.7 83 13 0 184 67.9% 91 38 0 190
1.1 Ave Maria School of Law 48.5% -17.2 26 6 0 66 65.7% 39 7 0 70

Visualizing legal employment outcomes in Illinois in 2019

This is the fourth in a series of visualizations on legal employment outcomes for the Class of 2019. Following posts on outcomes in Pennsylvania, Ohio, and Texas, here is a visualization for legal employment outcomes of graduates of Illinois law schools for the Class of 2019. (More about the methodology is available at the Pennsylvania post.) Last year's Illinois post is here.

The market appears to be flat to slightly declining for Illinois law schools, in contrast to other states so far. Graduates fell from 1696 to 1604, and placement in bar passage-required jobs was essentially unchanged from 1162 positions to 1158. But J.D.-advantage placement and law school-funded jobs dropped off a bit, for a slight overall placement rate improvement from 82% to 84%.

As always, please notify me of any corrections or errata.

Peer Score School 2019 YoY% BPR JDA LSF Grads 2018 BPR JDA LSF Grads
4.6 University of Chicago 97.5% -0.5 189 2 6 202 98.1% 188 4 10 206
4.2 Northwestern University (Pritzker) 95.8% -1.1 208 22 0 240 96.9% 205 12 5 229
3.2 University of Illinois-Urbana-Champaign 94.3% 2.3 107 8 0 122 91.9% 118 19 0 149
1.7 Northern Illinois University 86.7% 20.5 65 5 2 83 66.2% 43 8 0 77
2.6 Loyola University Chicago 84.3% -1.2 140 26 0 197 85.5% 119 46 0 193
2.3 DePaul University 79.8% 6.4 120 50 0 213 73.5% 126 40 0 226
2.6 Illinois Institute of Technology (Chicago-Kent) 78.9% -2.2 157 26 0 232 81.0% 149 39 0 232
2.1 UIC - John Marshall 67.1% -0.4 120 35 0 231 67.5% 151 33 1 274
1.6 Southern Illinois University-Carbondale 66.7% -0.6 52 4 0 84 67.3% 63 11 0 110

Visualizing legal employment outcomes in Texas in 2019

This is the third in a series of visualizations on legal employment outcomes for the Class of 2019. Following posts on outcomes in Pennsylvania and Ohio, here is a visualization for legal employment outcomes of graduates of Texas law schools for the Class of 2019. (More about the methodology is available at the Pennsylvania post.) Last year's Texas post is here.

Total jobs, including bar passage-required jobs, improved significantly. Bar passage require jobs rose from 1366 to 1430, while J.D. advantage positions fell slightly. Total graduates also declined slightly. Job placement improved from 76% to 80%, including a few law school-funded jobs.

I typically don’t comment on particular school performances, but I imagine this one may receive some attention. I don’t make any assessment as to the quality of positions. Read the methodology for more—I use the employment placement figures that USNWR adopts, with some different ways of visualizing the data. Texas, for instance, placed 122 graduates into law firms with more than 100 attorneys, and another 34 into federal clerkships. Baylor is less than half the size and placed 16 & 9, respectively. Texas A&M is half the size and placed 10 & 4, respectively. And SMU is slightly smaller but placed 81 & 3, respectively. Again, this is one of many metrics one can use.

As always, please notify me of any corrections or errata.

Peer Score School 2019 YoY% BPR JDA LSF Grads 2018 BPR JDA LSF Grads
2.4 Baylor University 93.7% 4.7 116 2 1 127 89.0% 100 5 0 118
2.4 Texas A&M University 92.3% 10.4 107 13 0 130 81.9% 93 20 0 138
4.1 University of Texas-Austin 89.9% -2.9 255 6 6 297 92.8% 238 15 6 279
2.7 Southern Methodist University 89.1% 2.0 233 12 0 275 87.1% 192 17 0 240
1.9 Texas Tech University 82.2% -3.6 103 8 0 135 85.8% 125 8 0 155
2.7 University of Houston 81.0% -4.4 163 24 0 231 85.4% 171 22 0 226
1.6 South Texas College of Law Houston 72.9% 5.1 173 17 1 262 67.8% 160 24 1 273
1.6 St. Mary's University 72.9% 10.4 131 22 0 210 62.5% 129 11 0 224
nr University of North Texas Dallas 59.3% 1.4 56 11 0 113 57.9% 76 8 0 145
1.4 Texas Southern University 57.8% 9.2 93 7 0 173 48.6% 82 6 0 181

Visualizing legal employment outcomes in Ohio in 2019

This is the second in a series of visualizations on legal employment outcomes for the Class of 2019. Following a post on outcomes in Pennsylvania, here is a visualization for legal employment outcomes of graduates of Ohio law schools for the Class of 2019. (More about the methodology is available at the Pennsylvania post.) Last year's Ohio post is here.

Total jobs, including bar passage-required jobs, improved significantly. Those bar passage-required jobs rose from 571 to 662. Total graduates also rose from 888 to 961. Job placement improved even with total graduates rising, increasing the placement weight in all these areas of employment from 76% to 81%. Four of Ohio’s nine law schools still graduated fewer than 100 students.

As always, please notify me of any corrections or errata.

Peer Score School 2019 YoY% BPR JDA LSF Grads 2018 BPR JDA LSF Grads
3.3 Ohio State University 87.5% -2.4 132 13 2 168 89.9% 134 14 3 168
1.7 University of Dayton 83.3% 7.7 58 12 0 84 75.6% 46 13 0 78
1.5 Ohio Northern University 83.0% 15.2 38 1 0 47 67.8% 34 6 0 59
1.8 University of Akron 82.2% 12.2 82 24 0 129 70.0% 65 19 0 120
2.4 University of Cincinnati 81.0% 1.0 86 12 0 121 80.0% 58 14 0 90
1.8 Cleveland-Marshall College of Law 80.7% -1.1 55 16 0 88 81.8% 65 7 0 88
1.9 University of Toledo 80.0% 5.9 49 15 0 80 74.1% 31 12 0 58
2.6 Case Western Reserve University 78.3% 5.3 99 12 1 143 73.0% 83 9 0 126
1.4 Capital University 67.3% 5.9 63 5 0 101 61.4% 55 7 0 101

Visualizing legal employment outcomes in Pennsylvania in 2019

Following up on a series of posts last year (and previous years), this is the first in a series visualizing employment outcomes of law school graduates from the Class of 2019. The U.S. News & World Report ("USNWR") rankings recently released include data for the Class of 2018, which are already obsolete. The ABA will release the information soon, but individualized employment reports are available on schools' websites.

The USNWR prints the "employed" rate as "all jobs, excluding positions funded by the law school or university that are full-time and long-term and for which a J.D. and bar passage are necessary or advantageous." It does not give "full weight" in its metrics to jobs that were funded by the law school. USNWR gives other positions lower weight, but these positions are not included in the ranking tables. And while it includes J.D. advantage positions, there remain disputes about whether those positions are actually as valuable as bar passage required jobs. (Some have also critiqued sole practitioners being included in the bar passage required statistics.) Nonetheless, as a top-level category, I looked at these “full weight” positions.

The top chart is sorted by non-school-funded jobs (or "full weight" positions). The visualization breaks out full-time, long-term, bar passage required positions (not funded by the school); full-time, long term, J.D.-advantage positions (not funded by the school); school funded positions (full-time, long-term, bar passage required or J.D.-advantage positions); and all other outcomes. I included a breakdown in the visualization slightly distinguishing bar passage required positions from J.D.-advantage positions, even thoug both are included in "full weight" for USNWR purposes (and I still sort the chart by "full weight" positions).

The table below the chart breaks down the raw data values for the Classes of 2018 and 2019, with relative overall changes year-over-year. Here, I used the employment rate including school-funded positions, which USNWR used to print but no longer does; nevertheless, because there are good-faith disputes, I think, about the value of school-funded positions, I split the difference—I excluded them in the sorting of the bar graphs, and included them comparatively in the tables. The columns beside each year break out the three categories in the total placement: FTLT unfunded bar passage required ("BPR"), FTLT unfunded J.D. advantage ("JDA"), and FTLT law school funded BPR & JDA positions ("LSF"). This year, I also added the total graduates. (My visualization is limited because the bar widths for each school are the same, even though schools vary greatly in size, and that means raw placement might be more impressive considering class size.)

Let me finally add that there are many other, and probably better, ways of looking at this data, including qualitative assessment of the types of jobs in each category. This is only a high-level look at eight select regions and the state of the entry-level legal employment market.

The first state is Pennsylvania (last year's visualization here). There were 1316 statewide graduates, a 6% increase over last year's class. The total placement rate among the graduates was over 90% (including a few school-funded jobs), a big jump over last year’s 82% despite a larger graduating class. Placement in bar passage required jobs jumped from 939 to 1082.

As always, if I made a mistake, please feel free to email me or comment; I confess there are always risks in data translation, and I am happy to make corrections.

UPDATE: Some figures incorrectly included both bar passage-required and J.D.-advantage jobs when they should have been separate categories. Those figures and the table below have been updated.

Peer Score School 2019 YoY% BPR JDA LSF Grads 2018 BPR JDA LSF Grads
4.4 University of Pennsylvania 97.6% -0.3 229 8 7 250 97.9% 216 12 10 243
2.5 Villanova University 93.8% 5.6 181 17 0 211 88.2% 127 15 0 161
2.2 Pennsylvania State - Dickinson Law 91.2% 3.9 45 7 0 57 87.3% 51 4 0 63
2.7 Temple University 90.7% 7.5 174 22 0 216 83.3% 161 13 0 209
2.2 Drexel University 88.8% 5.1 119 11 0 134 83.7% 95 13 0 129
1.8 Duquesne University 86.2% 6.2 78 16 0 109 80.0% 86 13 0 120
2.7 University of Pittsburgh 85.8% 14.0 89 14 0 120 71.9% 85 12 0 135
1.5 Widener Commonwealth 85.5% 23.3 60 5 0 76 62.3% 32 1 0 53
2.4 Penn State Law 80.4% 0.4 107 8 0 143 80.0% 86 13 1 125

Student-oriented reflections on the coronavirus and online legal education

I’ve read a few pieces here and there about online education (particularly online legal education) in the abrupt transition due to the coronavirus. But these often, in my view, feel unusually professor-centric, including reflections on how the students have reacted to the professor’s online experience (e.g., describing the experience as particularly “intimate” in the eyes of the professor). In my view, there are a number of significant barriers facing many students in an online environment that I’m trying to puzzle through in the event the fall term continues to drive us online. (I’ve seen some of these laid out elsewhere, so I hardly want to claim they’re novel—but I do believe they merit more emphasis than many of the takes I’ve seen.)

Access to reliable high-speed Internet. This is assuredly the largest problem students face. I’d venture to say that a quarter of my students don’t have good Internet access. Being able to participate live requires reliable high-speed Internet access. Understandably, this has been a priority of the FCC in recent years, particularly rolling out more reliable Internet to rural communities. But cities need to provide better opportunities for Internet service providers—more competition, subsidizing upgrades, whatever it might be—to make this possible. It is a dramatic barrier for many students who have to watch asynchronously, when they get a chance to find a place to download a lecture or to download it over a few hours. Indeed, I couldn’t stream from my home because the Internet is so poor, a reason I’ve had to use the law school (deemed “essential” to continue education continuity).

Streaming and note-taking simultaneously, and laptop hardware. Another challenge is the set-up for students while note-taking. Most students can take notes on a laptop while looking at the instructor or classmates in class. Now, students are trying to use the same screen for both watching the lecture and note-taking. Small laptops screens make this poor. Worse, many student-advertised laptops are optimized for low resource uses, like note-taking, not high resource uses, like streaming video. Zoom is not as resource-intensive as, say, video gaming, but it does require more effort and increases chances of lagging and crashing. If students have a second monitor—or a second computer—they are much more likely to enjoy streaming and note-taking separately.

Study spaces. Campus housing and libraries are tremendous resources for many students. It provides places away from home to live, study, and work. Without those spaces, students have had to compete for resources in the close confines of life with parents, siblings, and others living at home. Even with good Internet, they may not have the space or time to participate in synchronous classes.

Home life matters. Relatedly, it’s not that the coronavirus is draining resources from students focusing on that illness (at least, not for the majority of them). Instead, it’s that, once students return home, there are many new challenges that home life invites. There are the obvious disruptions, like child care. But, say, routine matters of family health—when living at home, you’re inclined to help out with a parent’s doctor’s appointment, whereas when living in a dorm hundreds of miles away, you couldn’t do so. For many students, school simply looks different when thrust into the ordinary every day of home life.

Now, for those students who remained living in, say, an off-campus apartment, with reliable Internet and multiple computer monitors, with a significant other or alone or a reliable roommate, life may look little different.

And even with such challenges, students are undoubtedly doing their best. I’ve done an okay job checking in with them. I should do better in the year ahead.

But I think schools need to be thinking about how to handle these myriad complications facing students in future iterations of online education. Yes, while online education often exists elsewhere and it’s hardly new, students doing so often (1) deliberately opted into ex ante, not mid-degree or involuntarily; (2) relied upon an existing support infrastructure, including child care and housing arrangements; and (3) used particular Internet and computer resources ahead of joining the class. Schools would do well to consider how to tackle these challenges in the months ahead.

February 2020 MBE bar scores fall to all-time record low in test history

What had been a record low in February 2018 after a record low in February 2017, became a new record low in February 2020. The mean score was 132.6, down from 134.0 last year and edging out the February 2018 low of 132.8. (That’s off from the recent 2011 high of 138.6.) We would expect bar exam passing rates to drop in most jurisdictions.

For perspective, California's overall "cut score" is 144, Virginia's 140, Texas's 135, and New York's 133.

Given how small the February pool is in relation to the July pool, it's hard to draw too many conclusions from the February test-taker pool. The February cohort is historically much weaker than the July cohort, in part because it includes so many who failed in July and retook in February. The NCBE reports that “more than two-thirds” of test-takers were repeaters.

Schools must ask themselves why bar rates remain persistently low and bar exam scores remain low. Declining entering class quality and ineffective bar preparation programs may be among the challenges.

The decline in scores comes at a particularly poor time. Some are advocating for “diploma privilege” for the Class of 2020 in light of bar exam postponements given the coronavirus pandemic. Bar licensing authorities will assuredly be skeptical of such proposals as they look at all-time low scores like these.